Day eleven: 143 round trips on a slow Sunday
A quiet Sunday with 143 round trips, a 74.1% hit rate, full uptime and nothing for the guardian to fix.
Sunday kept the pair on a short leash. Over 24 hours the EURC-USDC pair wandered within a range of just 29 ticks and drifted down 6 ticks overall, and 13 of those hours counted as quiet, meaning the price barely stretched beyond six ticks at a time. Days like this are the desk's natural habitat: small back-and-forth moves are exactly what a market maker feeds on.
The desk turned those small moves into 143 round trips, buying just under the market and selling each lot a little higher. 106 came out ahead, 35 landed exactly even, and only 2 lost. The median hold was 30.7 minutes, so most positions were opened and closed within about half an hour. The machinery itself was flawless: 751 orders sent, a single refusal, and 100% uptime across the day.
The guardian had the easiest shift imaginable. It found zero issues, so there was nothing to heal and nothing for the AI analyst to diagnose. The autopilot also sat idle, with no tests started or decided, and no live settings changed.
The interesting bit is what the AI does with a quiet day: it wrote 8 insights and queued an idea about a volatility brake for quiet hours, a mechanism that would ease off quoting when the market goes too still. Nothing was switched on yet; the idea simply waits its turn in the testing queue, which is how every change here proves itself before going live.
The market and every trade
EURC-USDC over the day (local time); each mark is a round trip where it was sold. Hover a mark for its details.
Round trips per hour
All 143 trades
Every round trip closed on the day, in the order it was sold. A tick is 0.0001; lot sizes and amounts are left out on purpose.
| # | Bought | Sold | Buy → sell | Held | Ticks | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23:32 | 00:06 | 1.1384 → 1.1386 | 33.4 min | +2 | Took profit |
| 2 | 23:35 | 00:09 | 1.1385 → 1.1386 | 33.9 min | +1 | Took profit |
| 3 | 00:20 | 00:51 | 1.1384 → 1.1386 | 31.3 min | +2 | Took profit |
| 4 | 00:17 | 00:51 | 1.1385 → 1.1386 | 34.5 min | +1 | Took profit |
| 5 | 00:56 | 01:35 | 1.1385 → 1.1385 | 38.3 min | 0 | Break-even |
| 6 | 01:02 | 01:39 | 1.1384 → 1.1385 | 36.9 min | +1 | Took profit |
| 7 | 01:39 | 02:13 | 1.1385 → 1.1385 | 34.1 min | 0 | Break-even |
| 8 | 01:41 | 02:15 | 1.1384 → 1.1385 | 34.2 min | +1 | Took profit |
| 9 | 01:59 | 02:35 | 1.1383 → 1.1385 | 36.5 min | +2 | Took profit |
| 10 | 02:24 | 03:07 | 1.1384 → 1.1385 | 43.4 min | +1 | Took profit |
| 11 | 02:36 | 03:07 | 1.1385 → 1.1385 | 31.1 min | 0 | Break-even |
| 12 | 03:07 | 03:13 | 1.1380 → 1.1385 | 5.7 min | +5 | Took profit |
| 13 | 03:07 | 03:13 | 1.1381 → 1.1385 | 5.7 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 14 | 03:07 | 03:13 | 1.1381 → 1.1385 | 5.7 min | +4 | Took profit · float |
| 15 | 03:07 | 03:15 | 1.1380 → 1.1385 | 7.8 min | +5 | Took profit · float |
| 16 | 03:07 | 03:31 | 1.1382 → 1.1386 | 23.9 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 17 | 03:07 | 03:35 | 1.1383 → 1.1387 | 27.8 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 18 | 03:13 | 03:49 | 1.1385 → 1.1387 | 36.4 min | +2 | Took profit |
| 19 | 03:52 | 04:30 | 1.1386 → 1.1387 | 37.5 min | +1 | Took profit |
| 20 | 04:03 | 04:35 | 1.1387 → 1.1388 | 31.7 min | +1 | Took profit |
| 21 | 04:35 | 05:12 | 1.1387 → 1.1388 | 36.3 min | +1 | Took profit |
| 22 | 04:43 | 05:19 | 1.1386 → 1.1388 | 35.8 min | +2 | Took profit |
| 23 | 05:20 | 05:30 | 1.1388 → 1.1392 | 10.7 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 24 | 05:35 | 06:13 | 1.1388 → 1.1388 | 38.7 min | 0 | Break-even |
| 25 | 05:41 | 06:17 | 1.1387 → 1.1388 | 36.5 min | +1 | Took profit |
| 26 | 06:32 | 06:55 | 1.1385 → 1.1389 | 23.5 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 27 | 06:25 | 06:55 | 1.1388 → 1.1388 | 30.8 min | 0 | Break-even |
| 28 | 06:32 | 07:06 | 1.1386 → 1.1387 | 34.4 min | +1 | Took profit |
| 29 | 06:32 | 07:06 | 1.1387 → 1.1387 | 34.4 min | 0 | Break-even |
| 30 | 06:57 | 07:28 | 1.1388 → 1.1388 | 31.6 min | 0 | Break-even |
| 31 | 07:08 | 07:45 | 1.1387 → 1.1387 | 36.3 min | 0 | Break-even |
| 32 | 07:47 | 07:48 | 1.1385 → 1.1387 | 0.4 min | +2 | Took profit · float |
| 33 | 07:47 | 07:49 | 1.1385 → 1.1387 | 1.9 min | +2 | Took profit · float |
| 34 | 07:34 | 08:05 | 1.1386 → 1.1387 | 31.9 min | +1 | Took profit |
| 35 | 07:47 | 08:18 | 1.1385 → 1.1386 | 30.9 min | +1 | Took profit |
| 36 | 07:48 | 08:28 | 1.1387 → 1.1387 | 40.2 min | 0 | Break-even |
| 37 | 08:06 | 08:30 | 1.1386 → 1.1390 | 24.7 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 38 | 08:30 | 08:30 | 1.1385 → 1.1389 | 0.3 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 39 | 08:32 | 09:04 | 1.1386 → 1.1387 | 32.1 min | +1 | Took profit |
| 40 | 08:38 | 09:12 | 1.1385 → 1.1386 | 33.9 min | +1 | Took profit |
| 41 | 08:52 | 09:27 | 1.1387 → 1.1387 | 35.1 min | 0 | Break-even |
| 42 | 09:09 | 09:43 | 1.1386 → 1.1386 | 34.5 min | 0 | Break-even |
| 43 | 09:44 | 09:45 | 1.1383 → 1.1385 | 0.2 min | +2 | Took profit · float |
| 44 | 09:44 | 09:47 | 1.1383 → 1.1385 | 2.5 min | +2 | Took profit · float |
| 45 | 09:21 | 09:54 | 1.1385 → 1.1385 | 33.2 min | 0 | Break-even |
| 46 | 09:34 | 09:54 | 1.1384 → 1.1388 | 20.1 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 47 | 09:44 | 09:54 | 1.1383 → 1.1387 | 9.8 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 48 | 09:57 | 10:27 | 1.1384 → 1.1385 | 30.3 min | +1 | Took profit |
| 49 | 10:03 | 10:37 | 1.1385 → 1.1385 | 34.7 min | 0 | Break-even |
| 50 | 10:35 | 10:45 | 1.1384 → 1.1388 | 9.6 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 51 | 10:14 | 10:45 | 1.1383 → 1.1385 | 30.9 min | +2 | Took profit |
| 52 | 10:39 | 11:10 | 1.1385 → 1.1385 | 31.3 min | 0 | Break-even |
| 53 | 10:49 | 11:18 | 1.1384 → 1.1388 | 29 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 54 | 11:12 | 11:45 | 1.1385 → 1.1385 | 33.3 min | 0 | Break-even |
| 55 | 11:31 | 12:02 | 1.1384 → 1.1384 | 30.6 min | 0 | Break-even |
| 56 | 12:00 | 12:32 | 1.1383 → 1.1384 | 32 min | +1 | Took profit |
| 57 | 12:04 | 12:40 | 1.1384 → 1.1384 | 36.4 min | 0 | Break-even |
| 58 | 12:35 | 12:49 | 1.1382 → 1.1386 | 14.4 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 59 | 12:35 | 12:50 | 1.1383 → 1.1387 | 15.5 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 60 | 12:51 | 13:00 | 1.1383 → 1.1387 | 8.5 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 61 | 12:50 | 13:00 | 1.1384 → 1.1388 | 9.8 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 62 | 13:05 | 13:06 | 1.1381 → 1.1384 | 1.1 min | +3 | Took profit · float |
| 63 | 13:05 | 13:07 | 1.1381 → 1.1384 | 1.8 min | +3 | Took profit · float |
| 64 | 13:09 | 13:09 | 1.1380 → 1.1383 | 0.8 min | +3 | Took profit · float |
| 65 | 13:10 | 13:10 | 1.1379 → 1.1383 | 0.4 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 66 | 13:10 | 13:10 | 1.1378 → 1.1383 | 0.4 min | +5 | Took profit |
| 67 | 13:10 | 13:10 | 1.1379 → 1.1383 | 0.6 min | +4 | Took profit · float |
| 68 | 13:09 | 13:11 | 1.1380 → 1.1384 | 1.9 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 69 | 13:10 | 13:11 | 1.1380 → 1.1383 | 1 min | +3 | Took profit · float |
| 70 | 13:16 | 13:18 | 1.1379 → 1.1382 | 1.3 min | +3 | Took profit · float |
| 71 | 13:16 | 13:20 | 1.1379 → 1.1382 | 3.2 min | +3 | Took profit · float |
| 72 | 13:16 | 13:30 | 1.1379 → 1.1383 | 14.1 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 73 | 13:05 | 13:32 | 1.1381 → 1.1385 | 26.7 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 74 | 13:16 | 13:32 | 1.1380 → 1.1384 | 15.2 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 75 | 13:02 | 13:33 | 1.1384 → 1.1384 | 31.5 min | 0 | Break-even |
| 76 | 13:02 | 13:33 | 1.1383 → 1.1384 | 30.8 min | +1 | Took profit |
| 77 | 13:04 | 13:34 | 1.1382 → 1.1384 | 30.3 min | +2 | Took profit |
| 78 | 13:34 | 14:07 | 1.1383 → 1.1383 | 33 min | 0 | Break-even |
| 79 | 13:53 | 14:25 | 1.1382 → 1.1383 | 32.4 min | +1 | Took profit |
| 80 | 14:07 | 14:39 | 1.1383 → 1.1384 | 32.5 min | +1 | Took profit |
| 81 | 14:08 | 14:39 | 1.1381 → 1.1384 | 31.2 min | +3 | Took profit |
| 82 | 14:26 | 14:58 | 1.1382 → 1.1384 | 31.6 min | +2 | Took profit |
| 83 | 14:40 | 15:12 | 1.1384 → 1.1384 | 32.4 min | 0 | Break-even |
| 84 | 14:44 | 15:16 | 1.1383 → 1.1385 | 31.2 min | +2 | Took profit |
| 85 | 15:21 | 15:25 | 1.1383 → 1.1387 | 3.9 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 86 | 15:18 | 15:27 | 1.1384 → 1.1388 | 9.8 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 87 | 15:26 | 15:39 | 1.1386 → 1.1390 | 13.4 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 88 | 15:30 | 15:39 | 1.1387 → 1.1391 | 9.3 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 89 | 15:24 | 15:39 | 1.1385 → 1.1389 | 15.4 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 90 | 15:39 | 15:44 | 1.1378 → 1.1384 | 5 min | +6 | Took profit · float |
| 91 | 15:39 | 15:44 | 1.1381 → 1.1385 | 5.1 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 92 | 15:39 | 15:48 | 1.1378 → 1.1384 | 9.2 min | +6 | Took profit · float |
| 93 | 15:39 | 16:12 | 1.1383 → 1.1385 | 32.7 min | +2 | Took profit |
| 94 | 15:39 | 16:12 | 1.1384 → 1.1385 | 32.7 min | +1 | Took profit |
| 95 | 15:39 | 16:12 | 1.1382 → 1.1385 | 32.7 min | +3 | Took profit |
| 96 | 16:34 | 16:38 | 1.1382 → 1.1386 | 4.4 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 97 | 16:23 | 16:39 | 1.1383 → 1.1387 | 15.5 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 98 | 16:15 | 16:39 | 1.1384 → 1.1388 | 23.3 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 99 | 16:56 | 16:58 | 1.1382 → 1.1386 | 2 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 100 | 16:29 | 17:02 | 1.1385 → 1.1386 | 33.1 min | +1 | Took profit |
| 101 | 16:56 | 17:11 | 1.1383 → 1.1387 | 15.6 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 102 | 17:04 | 17:34 | 1.1385 → 1.1389 | 29.6 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 103 | 16:56 | 17:34 | 1.1386 → 1.1386 | 37.8 min | 0 | Break-even |
| 104 | 16:56 | 17:34 | 1.1384 → 1.1384 | 37.8 min | 0 | Break-even |
| 105 | 17:27 | 17:34 | 1.1383 → 1.1387 | 6.6 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 106 | 17:45 | 18:27 | 1.1382 → 1.1382 | 42.2 min | 0 | Break-even |
| 107 | 17:43 | 18:28 | 1.1383 → 1.1383 | 44.7 min | 0 | Break-even |
| 108 | 17:57 | 18:53 | 1.1384 → 1.1382 | 56 min | -2 | Sold at a loss |
| 109 | 18:21 | 18:54 | 1.1381 → 1.1382 | 32.8 min | +1 | Took profit |
| 110 | 18:34 | 19:06 | 1.1382 → 1.1382 | 32.2 min | 0 | Break-even |
| 111 | 18:56 | 19:27 | 1.1381 → 1.1382 | 31 min | +1 | Took profit |
| 112 | 19:14 | 19:49 | 1.1382 → 1.1382 | 35 min | 0 | Break-even |
| 113 | 19:49 | 19:49 | 1.1381 → 1.1382 | 0.6 min | +1 | Took profit · float |
| 114 | 19:50 | 19:51 | 1.1381 → 1.1382 | 1.4 min | +1 | Took profit · float |
| 115 | 19:37 | 20:12 | 1.1381 → 1.1381 | 34.7 min | 0 | Break-even |
| 116 | 20:11 | 20:12 | 1.1376 → 1.1381 | 0.9 min | +5 | Took profit |
| 117 | 20:11 | 20:12 | 1.1378 → 1.1381 | 0.9 min | +3 | Took profit · float |
| 118 | 20:11 | 20:12 | 1.1377 → 1.1381 | 0.9 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 119 | 20:11 | 20:17 | 1.1378 → 1.1382 | 5.5 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 120 | 20:11 | 20:17 | 1.1378 → 1.1381 | 5.5 min | +3 | Took profit · float |
| 121 | 20:11 | 20:18 | 1.1379 → 1.1383 | 6.7 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 122 | 20:07 | 20:19 | 1.1380 → 1.1384 | 12 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 123 | 20:23 | 20:53 | 1.1383 → 1.1383 | 30.7 min | 0 | Break-even |
| 124 | 20:27 | 21:01 | 1.1382 → 1.1382 | 34 min | 0 | Break-even |
| 125 | 20:42 | 21:01 | 1.1381 → 1.1385 | 18.8 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 126 | 20:19 | 21:01 | 1.1384 → 1.1384 | 41.7 min | 0 | Break-even |
| 127 | 21:02 | 21:19 | 1.1382 → 1.1386 | 17.3 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 128 | 21:03 | 21:35 | 1.1383 → 1.1385 | 31.6 min | +2 | Took profit |
| 129 | 21:14 | 21:46 | 1.1384 → 1.1385 | 31.7 min | +1 | Took profit |
| 130 | 21:20 | 21:53 | 1.1385 → 1.1385 | 32.9 min | 0 | Break-even |
| 131 | 22:04 | 22:41 | 1.1384 → 1.1384 | 36.8 min | 0 | Break-even |
| 132 | 21:56 | 22:41 | 1.1385 → 1.1385 | 45.2 min | 0 | Break-even |
| 133 | 22:18 | 22:49 | 1.1383 → 1.1384 | 31.1 min | +1 | Took profit |
| 134 | 23:05 | 23:08 | 1.1377 → 1.1378 | 2.5 min | +1 | Took profit · float |
| 135 | 23:05 | 23:09 | 1.1377 → 1.1379 | 3.3 min | +2 | Took profit · float |
| 136 | 23:05 | 23:16 | 1.1377 → 1.1381 | 10.9 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 137 | 23:05 | 23:19 | 1.1378 → 1.1382 | 14.4 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 138 | 23:05 | 23:22 | 1.1379 → 1.1383 | 16.9 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 139 | 22:50 | 23:26 | 1.1383 → 1.1383 | 35.4 min | 0 | Break-even |
| 140 | 22:42 | 23:32 | 1.1384 → 1.1382 | 50.5 min | -2 | Sold at a loss |
| 141 | 23:03 | 23:35 | 1.1382 → 1.1382 | 31.3 min | 0 | Break-even |
| 142 | 23:05 | 23:35 | 1.1380 → 1.1382 | 30.5 min | +2 | Took profit |
| 143 | 23:05 | 23:35 | 1.1381 → 1.1382 | 30.6 min | +1 | Took profit |