Day three: a Saturday of 188 round trips and a fresh tune-up
The desk's third day brought 188 round trips, an 81.4% hit rate, and an operator-made settings change, with nothing to heal.
Saturday suited the desk. The pair wandered within a 27-tick band with barely any drift, and eleven of the twenty-four hours counted as quiet. In that gentle back-and-forth the desk completed 188 round trips, winning 153, breaking even 33, and losing just 2, for an 81.4% hit rate. The median hold was 19.5 minutes, so most lots turned around in the time it takes to make a coffee.
The machinery ran at 99.8% uptime and sent 902 orders, every one accepted and none refused. The guardian found nothing to fix, and the AI analyst had no diagnoses to write, which on a day three is exactly what you want to see.
The interesting bit was the operator's hand at work. They adjusted the number of resting buy orders, the float quoted above the market, and the lot size, and an earlier change to the exit and break-even timers was judged and kept live. Meanwhile the autopilot started two paper tests of the lot size against a control copy, so the next verdicts are already brewing. A young desk learning its trade on a lazy Saturday.
The market and every trade
EURC-USDC over the day (local time); each mark is a round trip where it was sold. Hover a mark for its details.
Round trips per hour
All 188 trades
Every round trip closed on the day, in the order it was sold. A tick is 0.0001; lot sizes and amounts are left out on purpose.
| # | Bought | Sold | Buy → sell | Held | Ticks | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23:45 | 00:18 | 1.1496 → 1.1496 | 33.5 min | 0 | Break-even |
| 2 | 23:35 | 00:18 | 1.1497 → 1.1497 | 43.1 min | 0 | Break-even |
| 3 | 00:33 | 00:37 | 1.1493 → 1.1497 | 4 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 4 | 00:31 | 00:42 | 1.1494 → 1.1498 | 10.6 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 5 | 00:05 | 00:42 | 1.1498 → 1.1498 | 37.4 min | 0 | Break-even |
| 6 | 00:13 | 00:45 | 1.1495 → 1.1497 | 32.2 min | +2 | Took profit |
| 7 | 00:19 | 00:50 | 1.1496 → 1.1497 | 31.4 min | +1 | Took profit |
| 8 | 00:42 | 01:15 | 1.1497 → 1.1498 | 32.8 min | +1 | Took profit |
| 9 | 01:03 | 01:35 | 1.1498 → 1.1498 | 32.1 min | 0 | Break-even |
| 10 | 01:19 | 01:39 | 1.1496 → 1.1500 | 19.7 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 11 | 01:16 | 01:39 | 1.1497 → 1.1501 | 22.8 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 12 | 01:42 | 01:43 | 1.1499 → 1.1503 | 1.8 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 13 | 01:41 | 02:13 | 1.1500 → 1.1502 | 32.5 min | +2 | Took profit |
| 14 | 01:52 | 02:21 | 1.1502 → 1.1506 | 29.2 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 15 | 01:52 | 02:21 | 1.1501 → 1.1505 | 28.9 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 16 | 02:22 | 02:38 | 1.1502 → 1.1506 | 16.5 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 17 | 02:33 | 03:00 | 1.1503 → 1.1507 | 27.8 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 18 | 02:47 | 03:00 | 1.1502 → 1.1506 | 13.5 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 19 | 02:36 | 03:01 | 1.1504 → 1.1508 | 24.7 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 20 | 03:07 | 03:24 | 1.1504 → 1.1508 | 16.9 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 21 | 03:02 | 03:24 | 1.1505 → 1.1509 | 22.5 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 22 | 03:01 | 03:24 | 1.1506 → 1.1510 | 22.9 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 23 | 03:28 | 03:55 | 1.1504 → 1.1508 | 27.5 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 24 | 03:01 | 03:55 | 1.1507 → 1.1505 | 54.5 min | -2 | Sold at a loss |
| 25 | 04:00 | 04:38 | 1.1504 → 1.1505 | 37.5 min | +1 | Took profit |
| 26 | 04:03 | 04:38 | 1.1502 → 1.1505 | 35.2 min | +3 | Took profit |
| 27 | 04:00 | 04:38 | 1.1503 → 1.1505 | 37.5 min | +2 | Took profit |
| 28 | 04:19 | 04:57 | 1.1505 → 1.1505 | 37.2 min | 0 | Break-even |
| 29 | 04:40 | 05:22 | 1.1504 → 1.1504 | 41.5 min | 0 | Break-even |
| 30 | 04:46 | 05:22 | 1.1503 → 1.1503 | 36.2 min | 0 | Break-even |
| 31 | 05:02 | 05:34 | 1.1502 → 1.1504 | 32 min | +2 | Took profit |
| 32 | 05:32 | 06:06 | 1.1504 → 1.1504 | 33.9 min | 0 | Break-even |
| 33 | 05:29 | 06:06 | 1.1503 → 1.1503 | 36.9 min | 0 | Break-even |
| 34 | 05:44 | 06:28 | 1.1502 → 1.1504 | 43.9 min | +2 | Took profit |
| 35 | 06:09 | 06:44 | 1.1503 → 1.1505 | 34.9 min | +2 | Took profit |
| 36 | 06:28 | 07:02 | 1.1504 → 1.1505 | 34.3 min | +1 | Took profit |
| 37 | 06:37 | 07:08 | 1.1506 → 1.1506 | 31.4 min | 0 | Break-even |
| 38 | 06:41 | 07:14 | 1.1505 → 1.1505 | 33.1 min | 0 | Break-even |
| 39 | 07:17 | 07:27 | 1.1501 → 1.1505 | 10.4 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 40 | 07:17 | 07:27 | 1.1500 → 1.1505 | 10.4 min | +5 | Took profit |
| 41 | 07:31 | 07:33 | 1.1500 → 1.1504 | 1.9 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 42 | 07:17 | 07:54 | 1.1503 → 1.1505 | 37.5 min | +2 | Took profit |
| 43 | 07:31 | 07:54 | 1.1501 → 1.1505 | 22.9 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 44 | 07:11 | 07:54 | 1.1504 → 1.1505 | 43.6 min | +1 | Took profit |
| 45 | 07:17 | 07:54 | 1.1505 → 1.1505 | 37.5 min | 0 | Break-even |
| 46 | 07:17 | 07:54 | 1.1502 → 1.1505 | 37.5 min | +3 | Took profit |
| 47 | 07:59 | 08:12 | 1.1504 → 1.1508 | 12.9 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 48 | 07:57 | 08:16 | 1.1505 → 1.1509 | 19.8 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 49 | 07:56 | 08:30 | 1.1506 → 1.1509 | 33.7 min | +3 | Took profit |
| 50 | 08:12 | 08:44 | 1.1507 → 1.1508 | 31.9 min | +1 | Took profit |
| 51 | 08:17 | 08:54 | 1.1508 → 1.1508 | 36.5 min | 0 | Break-even |
| 52 | 08:52 | 09:00 | 1.1506 → 1.1510 | 7.8 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 53 | 08:33 | 09:08 | 1.1509 → 1.1509 | 35.5 min | 0 | Break-even |
| 54 | 09:11 | 09:11 | 1.1508 → 1.1512 | 0 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 55 | 08:51 | 09:11 | 1.1507 → 1.1511 | 20.7 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 56 | 09:12 | 09:50 | 1.1508 → 1.1508 | 38.7 min | 0 | Break-even |
| 57 | 09:18 | 09:50 | 1.1507 → 1.1508 | 32.4 min | +1 | Took profit |
| 58 | 09:29 | 10:04 | 1.1506 → 1.1506 | 35.5 min | 0 | Break-even |
| 59 | 10:05 | 10:23 | 1.1503 → 1.1507 | 18.2 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 60 | 09:59 | 10:23 | 1.1505 → 1.1509 | 23.4 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 61 | 09:51 | 10:23 | 1.1507 → 1.1507 | 31.9 min | 0 | Break-even |
| 62 | 10:01 | 10:23 | 1.1504 → 1.1508 | 22.1 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 63 | 10:24 | 10:37 | 1.1504 → 1.1508 | 13.2 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 64 | 10:26 | 10:37 | 1.1503 → 1.1507 | 10.8 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 65 | 10:27 | 10:37 | 1.1502 → 1.1506 | 10.5 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 66 | 10:31 | 10:37 | 1.1501 → 1.1505 | 6.4 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 67 | 10:40 | 10:46 | 1.1500 → 1.1504 | 5.8 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 68 | 10:40 | 10:46 | 1.1499 → 1.1503 | 5.8 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 69 | 10:40 | 10:46 | 1.1501 → 1.1505 | 5.8 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 70 | 10:38 | 10:46 | 1.1502 → 1.1506 | 8.1 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 71 | 11:10 | 11:24 | 1.1500 → 1.1504 | 14.5 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 72 | 10:52 | 11:24 | 1.1501 → 1.1501 | 32.4 min | 0 | Break-even |
| 73 | 11:17 | 11:24 | 1.1499 → 1.1503 | 7 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 74 | 10:47 | 11:24 | 1.1502 → 1.1502 | 36.9 min | 0 | Break-even |
| 75 | 11:30 | 11:30 | 1.1500 → 1.1504 | 0.4 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 76 | 11:26 | 11:30 | 1.1499 → 1.1503 | 4.8 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 77 | 11:36 | 11:56 | 1.1497 → 1.1501 | 19.5 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 78 | 11:31 | 12:05 | 1.1500 → 1.1500 | 33.8 min | 0 | Break-even |
| 79 | 11:33 | 12:13 | 1.1499 → 1.1499 | 39.4 min | 0 | Break-even |
| 80 | 11:36 | 12:13 | 1.1498 → 1.1499 | 36.4 min | +1 | Took profit |
| 81 | 12:36 | 12:42 | 1.1496 → 1.1500 | 6.3 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 82 | 12:15 | 12:46 | 1.1498 → 1.1498 | 30.2 min | 0 | Break-even |
| 83 | 12:19 | 12:50 | 1.1497 → 1.1498 | 31 min | +1 | Took profit |
| 84 | 12:46 | 13:18 | 1.1498 → 1.1498 | 31.9 min | 0 | Break-even |
| 85 | 12:53 | 13:34 | 1.1497 → 1.1498 | 41.2 min | +1 | Took profit |
| 86 | 13:06 | 13:38 | 1.1496 → 1.1498 | 31.7 min | +2 | Took profit |
| 87 | 13:39 | 13:43 | 1.1492 → 1.1496 | 4.2 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 88 | 13:39 | 13:44 | 1.1489 → 1.1496 | 5.4 min | +7 | Took profit |
| 89 | 13:39 | 13:44 | 1.1490 → 1.1496 | 5.4 min | +6 | Took profit |
| 90 | 13:39 | 13:44 | 1.1491 → 1.1496 | 5.4 min | +5 | Took profit |
| 91 | 13:39 | 13:44 | 1.1488 → 1.1496 | 5.4 min | +8 | Took profit |
| 92 | 13:39 | 13:45 | 1.1493 → 1.1497 | 6.1 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 93 | 13:39 | 13:49 | 1.1494 → 1.1498 | 9.9 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 94 | 13:52 | 13:57 | 1.1488 → 1.1497 | 5.3 min | +9 | Took profit |
| 95 | 13:52 | 13:57 | 1.1493 → 1.1497 | 5.3 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 96 | 13:52 | 13:57 | 1.1487 → 1.1497 | 5.3 min | +10 | Took profit |
| 97 | 13:52 | 13:57 | 1.1492 → 1.1497 | 5.3 min | +5 | Took profit |
| 98 | 13:52 | 13:57 | 1.1491 → 1.1497 | 5.3 min | +6 | Took profit |
| 99 | 13:52 | 13:57 | 1.1490 → 1.1497 | 5.3 min | +7 | Took profit |
| 100 | 13:52 | 13:57 | 1.1489 → 1.1497 | 5.3 min | +8 | Took profit |
| 101 | 13:39 | 14:02 | 1.1495 → 1.1499 | 22.6 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 102 | 13:21 | 14:02 | 1.1498 → 1.1498 | 40.4 min | 0 | Break-even |
| 103 | 13:52 | 14:02 | 1.1494 → 1.1498 | 9.7 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 104 | 13:39 | 14:10 | 1.1497 → 1.1497 | 31.1 min | 0 | Break-even |
| 105 | 13:39 | 14:10 | 1.1496 → 1.1497 | 31.1 min | +1 | Took profit |
| 106 | 14:13 | 14:51 | 1.1496 → 1.1496 | 38.6 min | 0 | Break-even |
| 107 | 14:15 | 14:51 | 1.1495 → 1.1495 | 36.8 min | 0 | Break-even |
| 108 | 14:02 | 14:54 | 1.1498 → 1.1496 | 52.4 min | -2 | Sold at a loss |
| 109 | 14:49 | 15:21 | 1.1494 → 1.1496 | 32.1 min | +2 | Took profit |
| 110 | 14:52 | 15:25 | 1.1495 → 1.1496 | 32.7 min | +1 | Took profit |
| 111 | 15:40 | 15:42 | 1.1490 → 1.1496 | 2.6 min | +6 | Took profit |
| 112 | 15:40 | 15:42 | 1.1492 → 1.1496 | 2.6 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 113 | 15:40 | 15:42 | 1.1491 → 1.1496 | 2.6 min | +5 | Took profit |
| 114 | 15:40 | 15:47 | 1.1493 → 1.1497 | 7 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 115 | 15:29 | 16:04 | 1.1496 → 1.1496 | 35.3 min | 0 | Break-even |
| 116 | 15:34 | 16:14 | 1.1495 → 1.1495 | 39.8 min | 0 | Break-even |
| 117 | 15:40 | 16:15 | 1.1494 → 1.1495 | 35.2 min | +1 | Took profit |
| 118 | 16:13 | 16:45 | 1.1493 → 1.1495 | 32.6 min | +2 | Took profit |
| 119 | 16:27 | 16:45 | 1.1492 → 1.1496 | 18.3 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 120 | 16:16 | 16:54 | 1.1494 → 1.1495 | 37.5 min | +1 | Took profit |
| 121 | 16:46 | 17:21 | 1.1495 → 1.1495 | 34.8 min | 0 | Break-even |
| 122 | 17:03 | 17:37 | 1.1494 → 1.1495 | 33.9 min | +1 | Took profit |
| 123 | 17:11 | 17:42 | 1.1493 → 1.1496 | 30.6 min | +3 | Took profit |
| 124 | 17:25 | 17:58 | 1.1495 → 1.1496 | 32.3 min | +1 | Took profit |
| 125 | 17:58 | 18:32 | 1.1494 → 1.1495 | 33.9 min | +1 | Took profit |
| 126 | 17:58 | 18:32 | 1.1495 → 1.1495 | 33.9 min | 0 | Break-even |
| 127 | 18:16 | 18:32 | 1.1493 → 1.1497 | 16 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 128 | 18:45 | 18:59 | 1.1494 → 1.1498 | 13.3 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 129 | 18:59 | 18:59 | 1.1493 → 1.1497 | 0.3 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 130 | 18:59 | 19:00 | 1.1496 → 1.1500 | 0.5 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 131 | 18:42 | 19:00 | 1.1495 → 1.1499 | 17.4 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 132 | 18:59 | 19:00 | 1.1491 → 1.1495 | 0.3 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 133 | 18:59 | 19:00 | 1.1494 → 1.1498 | 0.8 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 134 | 18:59 | 19:00 | 1.1493 → 1.1497 | 0.3 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 135 | 18:59 | 19:00 | 1.1492 → 1.1496 | 0.3 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 136 | 19:00 | 19:00 | 1.1494 → 1.1498 | 0.6 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 137 | 19:00 | 19:00 | 1.1493 → 1.1497 | 0.6 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 138 | 19:00 | 19:00 | 1.1492 → 1.1496 | 0.4 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 139 | 19:01 | 19:33 | 1.1494 → 1.1496 | 32.9 min | +2 | Took profit |
| 140 | 19:11 | 19:34 | 1.1493 → 1.1497 | 23.7 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 141 | 19:36 | 19:43 | 1.1494 → 1.1498 | 6.5 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 142 | 19:28 | 19:43 | 1.1495 → 1.1499 | 14.4 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 143 | 19:40 | 19:43 | 1.1493 → 1.1497 | 3.1 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 144 | 19:40 | 19:43 | 1.1492 → 1.1496 | 2.7 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 145 | 19:56 | 19:57 | 1.1493 → 1.1494 | 1.5 min | +1 | Took profit · float |
| 146 | 19:56 | 20:01 | 1.1493 → 1.1494 | 5.1 min | +1 | Took profit · float |
| 147 | 19:56 | 20:14 | 1.1493 → 1.1497 | 18.4 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 148 | 19:55 | 20:28 | 1.1494 → 1.1495 | 33.8 min | +1 | Took profit |
| 149 | 20:31 | 20:33 | 1.1494 → 1.1495 | 1.8 min | +1 | Took profit · float |
| 150 | 20:31 | 20:34 | 1.1494 → 1.1496 | 2.5 min | +2 | Took profit · float |
| 151 | 20:08 | 20:44 | 1.1495 → 1.1495 | 35.4 min | 0 | Break-even |
| 152 | 20:31 | 20:45 | 1.1494 → 1.1498 | 13.7 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 153 | 20:12 | 20:45 | 1.1496 → 1.1496 | 32.4 min | 0 | Break-even |
| 154 | 20:31 | 20:45 | 1.1493 → 1.1497 | 13.7 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 155 | 20:45 | 20:55 | 1.1495 → 1.1499 | 9.7 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 156 | 21:04 | 21:07 | 1.1496 → 1.1497 | 2.4 min | +1 | Took profit · float |
| 157 | 21:10 | 21:11 | 1.1495 → 1.1496 | 0.5 min | +1 | Took profit · float |
| 158 | 20:56 | 21:19 | 1.1496 → 1.1500 | 22.8 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 159 | 20:59 | 21:19 | 1.1495 → 1.1499 | 19.6 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 160 | 21:22 | 21:25 | 1.1494 → 1.1498 | 3.4 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 161 | 21:20 | 21:25 | 1.1495 → 1.1499 | 5.4 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 162 | 21:33 | 21:34 | 1.1493 → 1.1494 | 1.4 min | +1 | Took profit · float |
| 163 | 21:41 | 21:44 | 1.1494 → 1.1495 | 2.9 min | +1 | Took profit · float |
| 164 | 21:26 | 21:46 | 1.1494 → 1.1498 | 19.8 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 165 | 21:26 | 21:46 | 1.1495 → 1.1499 | 19.8 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 166 | 21:33 | 21:46 | 1.1493 → 1.1497 | 12.8 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 167 | 21:46 | 21:48 | 1.1494 → 1.1498 | 2.4 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 168 | 21:51 | 21:55 | 1.1493 → 1.1497 | 4.1 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 169 | 21:49 | 21:55 | 1.1494 → 1.1498 | 6.5 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 170 | 21:57 | 22:04 | 1.1494 → 1.1498 | 6.8 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 171 | 22:06 | 22:09 | 1.1494 → 1.1495 | 3.7 min | +1 | Took profit · float |
| 172 | 22:18 | 22:19 | 1.1495 → 1.1496 | 0.8 min | +1 | Took profit · float |
| 173 | 22:06 | 22:21 | 1.1494 → 1.1498 | 15.3 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 174 | 22:21 | 22:24 | 1.1496 → 1.1500 | 3.3 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 175 | 22:06 | 22:24 | 1.1495 → 1.1499 | 18.7 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 176 | 22:26 | 22:39 | 1.1495 → 1.1499 | 13 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 177 | 22:25 | 22:50 | 1.1496 → 1.1500 | 25.1 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 178 | 22:51 | 22:52 | 1.1494 → 1.1498 | 1.5 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 179 | 22:51 | 22:52 | 1.1495 → 1.1498 | 1.5 min | +3 | Took profit · float |
| 180 | 22:51 | 22:52 | 1.1493 → 1.1498 | 1.5 min | +5 | Took profit |
| 181 | 22:51 | 22:56 | 1.1496 → 1.1498 | 5.1 min | +2 | Took profit · float |
| 182 | 22:51 | 23:00 | 1.1495 → 1.1499 | 8.6 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 183 | 22:38 | 23:10 | 1.1498 → 1.1499 | 32.6 min | +1 | Took profit |
| 184 | 22:30 | 23:10 | 1.1497 → 1.1499 | 40.2 min | +2 | Took profit |
| 185 | 22:51 | 23:11 | 1.1496 → 1.1500 | 20.5 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 186 | 23:12 | 23:30 | 1.1498 → 1.1502 | 17.8 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 187 | 23:11 | 23:39 | 1.1499 → 1.1503 | 28.9 min | +4 | Took profit |
| 188 | 23:15 | 23:48 | 1.1500 → 1.1502 | 32.5 min | +2 | Took profit |